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The great houses of Chaco Canyon

Chaco Canyon is a shallow canyon in the San Juan Basin of north-western New Mexico, with little rain, a short growing season and almost no trees. Between about AD 850 and 1150 the Ancestral Puebloans who lived there built a series of great houses, planned multi-storey buildings with hundreds of rooms, great kivas and core-and-veneer masonry walls, and surrounded them with roads, shrines and at least 70 outlying settlements across the basin⁠[1]⁠[2]. Pueblo Bonito, the largest, has about 800 rooms⁠[3]. Building stopped in the twelfth century and people moved away by about 1250; the Pueblo peoples of New Mexico and the Hopi count Chaco among their ancestral places⁠[1].

The chronology is among the best in world archaeology because the roofs were built of wood that can be dated to the year. Thomas Windes and Dabney Ford's inventory of 4,294 pieces of wood in Pueblo Bonito dates its main building episodes to the mid-800s, 1047 to 1049 and 1077 to 1082⁠[4]. Strontium isotopes and ring-width matching have since traced the beams to mountains 75 to 100 km away and shown the source shifting from the Zuni to the Chuska Mountains in the eleventh century⁠[5]⁠[6].

What the evidence does not settle is what the place was. Some researchers read the great houses as a ceremonial centre with few permanent residents, supplied from outside; others as the seat of a hereditary elite, as a lived-in farming town, or as the hub of a regional polity⁠[7]⁠[8]⁠[9]. Population estimates for the canyon run from under 1,000 to more than 2,000⁠[10]⁠[2]. The roads and the Sun Dagger petroglyph on Fajada Butte have made Chaco a centre of archaeoastronomy, with a disputed lunar dimension⁠[11]⁠[12]. Of the 9 questions on this site, 1 are answered. The most likely answer to “Do the buildings and markers at Chaco encode astronomy?”, not yet confirmed: the Sun Dagger marks the solstices, equinoxes and lunar standstills, and great houses and shrines are aligned….

Key questionsset by the editors

Do the buildings and markers at Chaco encode astronomy?Most likely: the Sun Dagger marks the solstices, equinoxes and lunar standstills, and great houses and shrines are aligned…
How many people lived in Chaco Canyon at its height?Most likely: fewer than about 1,000 lived in the canyon year-round; the rest of the capacity was for visitors or storage
What was Chaco Canyon?Most likely: the seat of a hereditary elite whose house at Pueblo Bonito controlled ritual and long-distance exchange
What were the Chacoan roads for?Most likely: ceremonial roads laid out to directions, sacred places and sky events, expressing a cosmology rather than…
Why did building at Chaco stop and its people leave?Most likely: a severe drought from about 1130 made the canyon and its supply areas unable to support the system
All 9 questions

The site

The canyon runs roughly north-west to south-east through sandstone mesas in the centre of the San Juan Basin. The park covers about 137 square kilometres and holds the core great houses (Pueblo Bonito, Chetro Ketl, Pueblo del Arroyo, Pueblo Alto, Peñasco Blanco, Una Vida and others), hundreds of smaller house sites, and Fajada Butte at the canyon's south-east end⁠[2]. Pueblo Bonito covers about 3 acres, with a plan divided by a north-south wall, a great kiva on each side and more than thirty smaller kivas⁠[3].

Pueblo Bonito
Pueblo BonitoToranTarzan, 1047. CC BY-SA 4.0Artifact

Six road systems leave the canyon and connect it with about thirty outliers. They are wide, straight, engineered surfaces with beds about 9 metres across; the Great North Road runs straight from Pueblo Alto about 56 km north⁠[2]. They were traditionally mapped from aerial photographs and ground survey, and many that were plain in the 1980s are now nearly invisible on the ground, which is why lidar matters⁠[13].

The park has been federal land since 1907, a national historical park since 1980 and a World Heritage Site since 1987⁠[1]. In June 2023 the Interior Department withdrew federal minerals within 10 miles of the park from leasing for 20 years; in July 2026 a draft environmental assessment proposed revoking that withdrawal, and as of late August 2026 the Department was reviewing comments⁠[14]. This is context for the landscape, not part of the archaeological question.

Map of the canyonOpen the full map
CHACO WASHSOUTH MESACHACRA MESA1Pueblo Bonito23456789101112Fajada Butte2 kmN© OpenStreetMap contributorsCHACO WASHSOUTH MESACHACRA MESA1234567891011122 kmN© OpenStreetMap contributors
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Pueblo BonitoGreat house
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Chetro KetlGreat house
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Pueblo del ArroyoGreat house
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Kin KletsoGreat house
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Pueblo AltoGreat house
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Peñasco BlancoGreat house
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Una VidaGreat house
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Hungo PaviGreat house
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WijijiGreat house
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Tsin KletsinGreat house
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Casa RinconadaGreat kiva
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Fajada ButteButte
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MappedBase map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Timeline

Timeline
Squeezed where little happened. Each mark is a published claim, by how it stands:Accepted: Passed its tests and two independent reviewsAcceptedLikely: Best supported so far, not yet confirmedMost likelyStill possible: Not tested enough to call either wayStill possibleDisputed: Reviewers disagree about itDisputedRuled out: The evidence contradicts itRuled out
What happenedPublished claims85090097410201077113018961921197719851999201020192026The first great-house rooms are built at Pueblo Bonito, 850First great-house rooms at Pueblo BonitoScarlet macaws from Mesoamerica begin to reach Pueblo Bonito, 900Scarlet macaws reach Pueblo BonitoBeams from the Chuska and Mount Taylor ranges are used in the same room and year, 974Beams from two distant ranges in one roomThe main timber source shifts from the Zuni to the Chuska Mountains, 1020Timber source shifts from the Zunis to the ChuskasMajor construction at Pueblo Bonito, 1047Second major construction episode at Pueblo Bonito, 1077A drought of about fifty years begins; the regional system starts to unravel about 1140, 1130Great-house building ends and people migrate from the canyon, 1150The Hyde Exploring Expedition (Wetherill and Pepper) excavates 190 rooms at Pueblo Bonito, 1896Hyde Exploring Expedition at Pueblo BonitoChaco Canyon National Monument is proclaimed, 1907Chaco Canyon National MonumentNeil Judd excavates several hundred rooms at Pueblo Bonito, 1921Judd excavates Pueblo BonitoAnna Sofaer records the light pattern on the Fajada Butte spirals, 1977Sofaer records the Sun DaggerChaco Culture National Historical Park is created, 1980Chaco Culture is inscribed as a World Heritage Site, 1987The middle Sun Dagger slab is found to have pivoted, and the solar markings no longer form as recorded, 1989Public Land Order 7923 withdraws federal minerals within 10 miles of the park for 20 years, 2023Ten-mile leasing withdrawalA draft environmental assessment proposes revoking the 2023 withdrawal, 2026Anna Sofaer, Volker Zinser and Rolf Sinclair, 1979: Three slabs on Fajada Butte were set or shaped so that midday light marks the solstices and equinoxes on two spirals, making a solar calendar.Sofaer et al. 1979Evelyn Newman, Robert Mark and R. Gwinn Vivian, 1982: The Fajada slabs are a natural rockfall, and the spirals were carved where its light happened to fall.Newman et al. 1982Anna Sofaer, Rolf Sinclair and LeRoy Doggett, 1982: At moonrise the eastern slab's shadow marks the moon's minor and major standstills on the large spiral, so the site tracked the 18.6-year lunar cycle.Sofaer et al. 1982Michael Zeilik, 1985: Fajada Butte was a sun shrine for watching the solstices, not a precise calendar, and the lunar markings are unsupported.Michael Zeilik 1985Anna Sofaer, Michael Marshall and Rolf Sinclair, 1989: The Great North Road runs almost due north for tens of kilometres with few settlements on it because it expressed a cosmology, not a need to travel.Thomas Windes and Dabney Ford, 1996: Tree rings from 4,294 pieces of wood date Pueblo Bonito's main building episodes to the mid-800s, 1047 to 1049 and 1077 to 1082.Stephen Lekson, 1999: Chaco, Aztec Ruins and Paquimé were laid out on one north-south meridian as successive capitals of the same ruling tradition.Colin Renfrew, 2001: Chaco was an essentially egalitarian centre of pilgrimage, where goods were made and used for periodic gatherings at the great houses.Nathan English and colleagues, 2001: Strontium isotopes show the great-house spruce and fir came from the Chuska and Mount Taylor ranges, more than 75 km away.English et al. 2001Larry Benson and colleagues, 2007: The mid-twelfth-century departure from Chaco followed a severe drought shown in tree-ring records.Benson et al. 2007Anna Sofaer, 2007: Twelve of fourteen major Chacoan buildings are oriented to the cardinal directions, the solstices or the lunar standstills, and placed on such bearings to one another.Anna Sofaer 2007Patricia Crown and W. Jeffrey Hurst, 2009: Residues on Pueblo Bonito sherds, probably from cylinder jars, carry theobromine, showing cacao was drunk there about 1000 to 1125.Crown & Hurst 2009Stephen Plog and Carrie Heitman, 2010: New radiocarbon dates on the Room 33 crypt put marked social inequality at Chaco 150 to 200 years earlier than thought.J. McKim Malville and Andrew Munro, 2014: Most great houses face south to south-south-east by an older building tradition, and the claimed lunar alignments between them are products of topography.Christopher Guiterman and colleagues, 2016: Ring-width matching places most dated timbers in the Zuni and Chuska mountains, with the Zunis supplying nearly all before 1020 and the Chuskas dominant by 1060.Douglas Kennett and colleagues, 2017: Nine Room 33 burials share one mitochondrial genome, the remains of an elite matriline that lasted about 330 years.Larry Benson and Deanna Grimstead, 2019: The canyon could grow maize and hunt game for no more than about 1,000 people, so either food was imported or few lived there year-round.Bradley Schaefer and James Stamm, 2020: At Fajada Butte at most two of the four claimed markings are intentional, the lunar ones are chance, and the site was a sun shrine.David Lentz and colleagues, 2021: Centuries of woodcutting stripped the canyon's pinyon-juniper woodland and left the landscape unable to absorb drought.Robert Weiner and colleagues, 2025: Lidar shows the Gasco Road and a parallel road aligned with springs and the winter solstice sunrise over Mount Taylor.Thomaz Pinotti and colleagues, with Picuris Pueblo, 2025: Ancient and living Picuris people are genetically continuous with the Pueblo Bonito burials.Timothy Kohler, Laura Brumbaugh and Kyle Bocinsky, 2025: The Chaco regional system held more people than even the highest earlier estimates, and grew after 1040 like a colonial system.

What was found

Pueblo Bonito was dug first and most. The Hyde Exploring Expedition under Richard Wetherill and George Pepper of the American Museum of Natural History excavated 190 rooms from 1896 to 1900, and Neil Judd of the Smithsonian excavated several hundred more from 1921 to 1927⁠[3]⁠[1]. Pepper's crew emptied Room 28, which held 174 whole vessels, 112 of them tall cylinder jars; fewer than 200 cylinder jars are known from the whole Southwest, and almost all are now in New York⁠[15]⁠[16]. Room 33, a burial crypt in the oldest part of the building, held a man who died violently and thirteen others buried after him over about 330 years⁠[3]⁠[17].

First page of Pepper's excavation report, Pueblo Bonito (1920)466 pages
Pepper's excavation report, Pueblo Bonito (1920)George H. Pepper; notes by N. C. Nelson, 1896. Public domainArtifact

The canyon's imports are the best measured of any Puebloan site. Scarlet macaws, a tropical bird from Mesoamerica, were brought to Pueblo Bonito from about 900 to 975 onward and until about 1150, most of them before the eleventh-century building peak⁠[18]. Residues on cylinder-jar sherds carry theobromine, the biomarker for cacao, the earliest evidence of chocolate drinking north of Mexico, dated about 1000 to 1125⁠[19]. Construction timbers came from the Chuska, Zuni and Mount Taylor ranges⁠[5]⁠[6]; the large pine stump in Pueblo Bonito's plaza has been traced by both tree rings and strontium to the Chuskas⁠[20].

Lidar has extended the road record. Friedman, Sofaer and Weiner showed in 2017 that it recovers known and new segments of the Great North Road and the roads around Pueblo Alto⁠[13]. The San Juan Valley Archaeological Project published a field survey and ceramic analysis of the Great North Road in 2024⁠[21]. In 2025 Weiner, Friedman and Stein used free 1 m USGS elevation models to show that the Gasco Road, about 80 km south of the canyon, runs for more than 6 km with a second road parallel to it, both aligned on springs and on the winter solstice sunrise over Mount Taylor⁠[22]⁠[23]. On Fajada Butte, three sandstone slabs against the cliff cast light onto two spiral petroglyphs; Anna Sofaer recorded the light pattern in 1977 and published it in 1979 as a marker of the solstices and equinoxes⁠[11].

What is known

The building sequence is fixed by tree rings: the earliest great-house rooms at Pueblo Bonito in the mid-800s, the main expansions at 1047 to 1049 and 1077 to 1082, and the last construction in the early 1100s, with many episodes falling in wet decades when food could be stored⁠[4]. Dated wood from the canyon and from Aztec Ruins is compiled in the Chaco Research Archive's tree-ring database, which the Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research has expanded from its specimen cards⁠[24].

The timber was imported. Spruce and fir beams carry strontium ratios that match the Chuska and San Mateo (Mount Taylor) mountains and not the equally close San Pedro Mountains; logs from both sources appear in the same room and year by 974, which points to stockpiling and cooperation⁠[5]. Ring-width matching of 170 timbers put 70 percent in the Chuska and Zuni mountains, with the Zunis supplying nearly all before 1020 and the Chuskas dominant by 1060⁠[6]. Isotopes have also sourced ponderosa pine, the commonest beam⁠[25].

Inequality appears early. New radiocarbon dates on Room 33 put marked social differentiation 150 to 200 years earlier than once thought⁠[17], and the macaws were arriving by the tenth century⁠[18]. In 2017 Kennett and colleagues reported that nine of the Room 33 burials share one mitochondrial genome and that nuclear DNA shows mother-daughter and grandmother-grandson links, which they read as an elite matriline lasting about 330 years⁠[8]. Indigenous scientists objected that no tribes had been consulted, that the paper described ancestors insensitively, and that NAGPRA leaves research on such remains unregulated⁠[26]. In 2025 a study initiated and controlled by Picuris Pueblo found genetic continuity between Picuris people, ancient and living, and the Pueblo Bonito burials⁠[27].

The local environment was poor and grew poorer. Pollen and plant remains show the canyon's pinyon-juniper woodland cut back from the last centuries BC and largely gone by the Bonito phase⁠[7]. Benson and Grimstead calculated that the canyon floor could grow maize for about 1,000 people at most and that small game could not supply the protein for a population of 2,300, so either food was imported or few lived there year-round⁠[10]⁠[28]⁠[29]. Great-house building ended in the early 1100s, and the system came apart from about 1140, during a drought that began about 1130⁠[4]⁠[2].

The explanations

What Chaco was. A ceremonial or pilgrimage centre: great houses with few permanent residents, filled at gatherings and supplied from outside; it predicts small resident households, large stores and episodic deposits of food and goods brought in⁠[7]⁠[30]. A hereditary elite: the Room 33 matriline, the early macaws and the cacao point to a ruling house; this predicts continuity of privileged burial and control of imports across generations⁠[8]⁠[17]. A lived-in town: Lentz and colleagues argue the canyon was farmed and lived in for a millennium⁠[7]. A regional polity: Kohler, Brumbaugh and Bocinsky argue that the regional system held more people than any earlier estimate and that its rapid expansion after 1040 fits models of colonial systems, with roads and shrines as a polity's infrastructure⁠[9]. These are not exclusive; they differ on the size of the resident population and on who controlled the imports.

How many lived there. Estimates for the canyon have fallen since the 1970s; the NPS notes that research then sharply reduced earlier figures for the great houses⁠[1]. Benson's carrying-capacity work puts the self-supporting population under 1,000⁠[10]. At the regional scale the 2025 estimate goes the other way⁠[9]. The two can both be right if the canyon was a small, provisioned centre of a populous region.

What the roads were for. They moved timber and probably food: the beams came from 75 to 100 km away, and Benson's import calculation implies many thousands of foot trips⁠[5]⁠[28]. But the roads are wider and straighter than foot traffic needed, some run in parallel pairs, and modern Pueblo people associate the Great North Road with their ancestors' arrival from the north⁠[2]⁠[22]. Sofaer and others read the roads as cosmographic, laid out to directions and sky events, and the Gasco roads' solstice alignment is the strongest recent case⁠[31]⁠[22]. Kohler's reading treats them as the visible network of a polity⁠[9].

Whether the buildings encode astronomy. On Fajada Butte three slabs cast midday light on two spirals: one dagger of light crosses the centre of the large spiral at the summer solstice, two bracket it at the winter solstice, and one bisects the small spiral at the equinoxes⁠[11]. Whether people set the slabs is disputed; Newman, Mark and Vivian judged them a natural rockfall that the carvers put to use⁠[32]. Zeilik, and later Schaefer and Stamm, read the site as a sun shrine for the solstices rather than a calendar, and the lunar standstill markings Sofaer's team reported in 1982 as chance⁠[12]⁠[33]⁠[34]. In 1989 the middle slab was found to have pivoted, and the markings no longer form as they were recorded; the photographs of 1978 to 1987 and a model built from 1984 photogrammetry and a 2005 laser scan are the record⁠[35]⁠[36]. For the buildings, the Solstice Project's survey put Pueblo Bonito's main walls within a quarter of a degree of the cardinal directions and twelve of fourteen major buildings within a few degrees of solar or lunar azimuths, and found lines between buildings on the same bearings⁠[37]. Malville and Munro argue that most orientations follow an older tradition of south-facing house plans, and that the alignments between buildings to the lunar standstills are products of the topography⁠[38]. McCluskey's point that the noon shadow events at Fajada's other sites are about what chance gives is the general objection to alignment counts made without a null model⁠[39].

Why building stopped and people left. Drought: a drought of about fifty years began about 1130, as building ended, and Benson and colleagues have tested the twelfth-century migrations against tree-ring drought records⁠[2]⁠[40]. Degradation: centuries of woodcutting and erosion left the canyon unable to absorb a drought⁠[7]. Movement rather than collapse: descendant communities describe a migration, not an end, and the Picuris genomes show continuity with Pueblo Bonito⁠[1]⁠[27].

Published claims

Published claims and their status
YearWhoClaimedStatusReason
1979Anna Sofaer, Volker Zinser and Rolf Sinclair⁠[11]Three slabs on Fajada Butte were set or shaped so that midday light marks the solstices and equinoxes on two spirals, making a solar calendar.Disputed: Reviewers disagree about itDisputedThe light markings are accepted, but others read the slabs as a natural rockfall and the site as a sun shrine rather than a calendar⁠[32]⁠[34].
1982Evelyn Newman, Robert Mark and R. Gwinn Vivian⁠[32]The Fajada slabs are a natural rockfall, and the spirals were carved where its light happened to fall.Still possible: Not tested enough to call either wayStill possibleNo study has settled whether the slabs were placed or shaped, and the record of their geometry now rests on photographs and a model made before the middle slab shifted⁠[36].
1982Anna Sofaer, Rolf Sinclair and LeRoy Doggett⁠[33]At moonrise the eastern slab's shadow marks the moon's minor and major standstills on the large spiral, so the site tracked the 18.6-year lunar cycle.Disputed: Reviewers disagree about itDisputedZeilik and later Schaefer and Stamm judged the lunar shadow positions to be chance by-products of the slabs⁠[12]⁠[34].
1985Michael Zeilik⁠[12]Fajada Butte was a sun shrine for watching the solstices, not a precise calendar, and the lunar markings are unsupported.Likely: Best supported so far, not yet confirmedMost likelySchaefer and Stamm's 2020 review reached the same reading, though Sofaer's team rejected Zeilik's assessment⁠[34]⁠[43].
1989Anna Sofaer, Michael Marshall and Rolf Sinclair⁠[44]The Great North Road runs almost due north for tens of kilometres with few settlements on it because it expressed a cosmology, not a need to travel.Still possible: Not tested enough to call either wayStill possibleThe roads also had a transport role, and the clearest support since is one road pair at Gasco aligned to the winter solstice⁠[28]⁠[22].
1996Thomas Windes and Dabney Ford⁠[4]Tree rings from 4,294 pieces of wood date Pueblo Bonito's main building episodes to the mid-800s, 1047 to 1049 and 1077 to 1082.Accepted: Passed its tests and two independent reviewsAcceptedThe dates are compiled with the rest of the canyon's tree-ring record and have not been seriously challenged⁠[24].
1999Stephen Lekson⁠[46]Chaco, Aztec Ruins and Paquimé were laid out on one north-south meridian as successive capitals of the same ruling tradition.Disputed: Reviewers disagree about itDisputedSouthwestern archaeologists object that the material culture of the three centres is too different, though many accept the move from Chaco to Aztec⁠[45].
2001Colin Renfrew⁠[47]Chaco was an essentially egalitarian centre of pilgrimage, where goods were made and used for periodic gatherings at the great houses.Still possible: Not tested enough to call either wayStill possibleLow estimates of the resident population fit it, but early burials and imports point to a hereditary elite rather than an egalitarian centre⁠[10]⁠[17].
2001Nathan English and colleagues⁠[5]Strontium isotopes show the great-house spruce and fir came from the Chuska and Mount Taylor ranges, more than 75 km away.Accepted: Passed its tests and two independent reviewsAcceptedRing-width matching of 170 timbers independently placed most beams in distant ranges⁠[6].
2007Larry Benson and colleagues⁠[40]The mid-twelfth-century departure from Chaco followed a severe drought shown in tree-ring records.Likely: Best supported so far, not yet confirmedMost likelyThe drought's timing matches the end of building, but woodland loss and a long tradition of migration are argued as causes too⁠[7]⁠[1].
2007Anna Sofaer⁠[37]Twelve of fourteen major Chacoan buildings are oriented to the cardinal directions, the solstices or the lunar standstills, and placed on such bearings to one another.Disputed: Reviewers disagree about itDisputedMalville and Munro trace most orientations to older south-facing house plans and the inter-building lines to the canyon's topography⁠[38].
2009Patricia Crown and W. Jeffrey Hurst⁠[19]Residues on Pueblo Bonito sherds, probably from cylinder jars, carry theobromine, showing cacao was drunk there about 1000 to 1125.Accepted: Passed its tests and two independent reviewsAcceptedThe result has not been seriously challenged and the park presents it as established⁠[16].
2010Stephen Plog and Carrie Heitman⁠[17]New radiocarbon dates on the Room 33 crypt put marked social inequality at Chaco 150 to 200 years earlier than thought.Likely: Best supported so far, not yet confirmedMost likelyEarly macaw imports and the Room 33 genomes support early differentiation⁠[18]⁠[8].
2014J. McKim Malville and Andrew Munro⁠[38]Most great houses face south to south-south-east by an older building tradition, and the claimed lunar alignments between them are products of topography.Likely: Best supported so far, not yet confirmedMost likelyNo study has answered the critique with a test of the alignments against chance, so the building-tradition reading stands as the simpler one⁠[37].
2016Christopher Guiterman and colleagues⁠[6]Ring-width matching places most dated timbers in the Zuni and Chuska mountains, with the Zunis supplying nearly all before 1020 and the Chuskas dominant by 1060.Accepted: Passed its tests and two independent reviewsAcceptedIt agrees with the strontium sourcing and with the later Chuska origin of Pueblo Bonito's plaza tree⁠[5]⁠[20].
2017Douglas Kennett and colleagues⁠[8]Nine Room 33 burials share one mitochondrial genome, the remains of an elite matriline that lasted about 330 years.Likely: Best supported so far, not yet confirmedMost likelyThe genetic result has not been challenged; the objections were to the lack of tribal consultation and the description of ancestors⁠[26].
2019Larry Benson and Deanna Grimstead⁠[10]The canyon could grow maize and hunt game for no more than about 1,000 people, so either food was imported or few lived there year-round.Likely: Best supported so far, not yet confirmedMost likelyIt fits the long decline in canyon estimates, while Kohler's larger figure applies to the whole regional system⁠[1]⁠[9].
2020Bradley Schaefer and James Stamm⁠[34]At Fajada Butte at most two of the four claimed markings are intentional, the lunar ones are chance, and the site was a sun shrine.Likely: Best supported so far, not yet confirmedMost likelyIt agrees with Zeilik's reading, and the site can no longer be re-observed because the middle slab shifted in 1989⁠[12]⁠[35].
2021David Lentz and colleagues⁠[7]Centuries of woodcutting stripped the canyon's pinyon-juniper woodland and left the landscape unable to absorb drought.Still possible: Not tested enough to call either wayStill possibleThe pollen record of woodland loss is not disputed, but its weight against the drought as a cause has not been tested⁠[40].
2025Robert Weiner and colleagues⁠[22]Lidar shows the Gasco Road and a parallel road aligned with springs and the winter solstice sunrise over Mount Taylor.Still possible: Not tested enough to call either wayStill possibleIt is one road pair, and alignment counts at Chaco have been faulted for lacking a test against chance⁠[38].
2025Thomaz Pinotti and colleagues, with Picuris Pueblo⁠[27]Ancient and living Picuris people are genetically continuous with the Pueblo Bonito burials.Accepted: Passed its tests and two independent reviewsAcceptedThe genomes agree with Picuris oral history and with the park's account of descendant communities⁠[1].
2025Timothy Kohler, Laura Brumbaugh and Kyle Bocinsky⁠[9]The Chaco regional system held more people than even the highest earlier estimates, and grew after 1040 like a colonial system.Still possible: Not tested enough to call either wayStill possibleIt is a model-based estimate not yet tested against settlement counts, and canyon-scale estimates point the other way⁠[10].

What would settle it

The population question can be tested with the data that exist: a room-by-room count of hearths, storage and residential features for every dated great-house room in the tree-ring database, set against the food budget, would bound the resident population⁠[24]⁠[10]. Isotope sourcing of the maize and fauna, as has been done for timber, would show how much food was imported and from where⁠[28]⁠[5].

The roads need a complete lidar map of the basin from public elevation data, with each segment's width, orientation and endpoints recorded, and a test of the alignment claims against random orientations under the same terrain⁠[41]⁠[22]. The astronomical readings need the same null-model test for great-house walls and shrine lines, decided before the data are examined, starting from the Solstice Project's published wall azimuths⁠[42]⁠[37]⁠[12]. Any further genetic work on the ancestors buried at Chaco should follow the Picuris model of tribal initiation and control⁠[27]⁠[26].

Questions

1 of 9 questions are answered.

Key questionsAll 9
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Most likely: the Sun Dagger marks the solstices, equinoxes and lunar standstills, and great houses and shrines are aligned…
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0 of 0 sub-questions answered·0
Most likely: fewer than about 1,000 lived in the canyon year-round; the rest of the capacity was for visitors or storage
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1 of 1 sub-questions answered·0
Most likely: the seat of a hereditary elite whose house at Pueblo Bonito controlled ritual and long-distance exchange
0
0 of 0 sub-questions answered·0
Most likely: ceremonial roads laid out to directions, sacred places and sky events, expressing a cosmology rather than…
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0 of 0 sub-questions answered·0
Most likely: a severe drought from about 1130 made the canyon and its supply areas unable to support the system

Evidence 62 findings

Artifacts

The films, photos, papers and objects this mystery rests on, each with its own key and its distance from the original.

See also

References

  1. 1.National Park Service, C. n.d.. Chaco Brief History. nps.gov.cited 13 times hereSRC0D9KT25Y7TW6
  2. 2.Wikipedia contributors n.d.. Chaco Culture National Historical Park. Wikipedia.cited 7 times hereSRC0D9KT2DR405C
  3. 3.Wikipedia contributors n.d.. Pueblo Bonito. Wikipedia.cited 5 times hereSRC0D9KT2NJ5FBV
  4. 4.Windes, T., Ford, D. 1996. The Chaco Wood Project: The Chronometric Reappraisal of Pueblo Bonito. American Antiquity 61(2): 295-310.doicited 9 times hereSRC0D9KT2XC3XB7
  5. 5.English, N., Betancourt, J., Dean, J. et al. 2001. Strontium isotopes reveal distant sources of architectural timber in Chaco Canyon, New Mexico. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 98(21): 11891-11896.doicited 10 times hereSRC0D9KT3D01V6X
  6. 6.Guiterman, C., Swetnam, T., Dean, J. 2016. Eleventh-century shift in timber procurement areas for the great houses of Chaco Canyon. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113(5): 1186-1190.doicited 8 times hereSRC0D9KT3WM6189
  7. 7.Lentz, D., Slotten, V., Dunning, N. et al. 2021. Ecosystem impacts by the Ancestral Puebloans of Chaco Canyon, New Mexico, USA. PLOS ONE 16(10): e0258369.doicited 8 times hereSRC0D9KT9R418H9
  8. 8.Kennett, D., Plog, S., George, R. et al. 2017. Archaeogenomic evidence reveals prehistoric matrilineal dynasty. Nature Communications 8: 14115.doicited 6 times hereSRC0D9KT4C82JBK
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  10. 10.Benson, L., Grimstead, D. 2019. Prehistoric Chaco Canyon, New Mexico: Residential population implications of limited agricultural and mammal productivity. Journal of Archaeological Science 108: 104971.doicited 8 times hereSRC0D9KT8H215DB
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Last edited 27 Oct 2026
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