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Research session 1 · Incident 88: the Hackensack disc, 3 August 1947

Incident 88 opened: the three files untangled and the balloon tested

Read every page of the Incident 88 folder against the FBI file, the Wildwood and Danforth folders and the unredacted Sign check-lists, and checked the sighting against the Teterboro weather record.

Session 13 Nov 2026Opening survey1 run11 evidence2 figures
Flagged noteworthy · score 60The Air Force never saw the FBI's interviews in a 1947 saucer case it rated unexplained for lack of evidence Contradicts published work. Sent to the newsroom with a draft article and press kit.
Review in the newsroom
Flagged noteworthy · score 55The Wildwood 'flying saucer' letters in Blue Book Incident 88 belong to a case the Air Force investigated and closed in 1948 Rules out an explanation. Sent to the editors.

Going in the sweep before the work

What changed since the mystery was added3 Oct 2026, 23:55 → 2 Nov 2026, 23:55
0datasets added
0sources added
0news stories matched
0duplicates or retired records

In brief

  1. The Air Force's record of the Hackensack sighting is the FBI's two-line teletype and nothing more; the FBI's own interviews of 13 August, which give time, course, duration, size and shape, never reached the check-list, so Hynek's 'lack of evidence' was a verdict on the file.
  2. Fourteen of the folder's nineteen pages are misfiled: the Wildwood letters continue Project Sign Incident 50, which was investigated in person and through the Coast Guard and closed in April 1948, and the Danforth letter is a copy of one in its own folder.
  3. A small balloon on the evening's light south-westerly fits the object's size, steady motion and silence; the reported course lies 41 degrees off the surface wind, inside the error of a course rebuilt from landmarks.
What this changes: Opens the mystery with four key questions; the file questions now lean strongly to misfiling and to an investigated, closed Wildwood case; the sighting question leans to a balloon at suggestive strength.

What movedNo question changed standing

What did the three witnesses see over Hackensack on the evening of 3 August 1947?
raised this session+4 evidence, 2 for, 2 against1 next step added
A bird lit by the low sun · 0 for, 1 againstUntested → Possible
An unidentified flying object that no ordinary cause explains · 1 for, 1 againstUntested → Possible
Openunchanged
Openunchanged
1 more question touched, none changed standing

What's next3 steps set · ranked

1
35score
Details

Find Newark or LaGuardia pilot-balloon winds near 200-300 m for the evening of 3 August 1947; south or south-south-west closes the course gap, west or north-west rules out free drift.

2
Bergen Evening Record, 4-5 Aug 1947
Adds evidenceFair odds~2 h
15score
Details

Read the Hackensack paper for the police report, other callers or a balloon release that evening.

3
AAF copy of the FBI's 13 August letter
Could decidePoor odds~8 h
12score
Details

Search AC/AS-2 and Project Sign records at NARA for a copy or transmittal of the Newark interviews.

Next steps live on their questions, where anyone can take one up. Ranked by how likely each is to move a key question, for the time it takes.

New questions 5

Tests this session 1

TestAgainstEstimate [95%]Verdict
Reported course minus downwind direction, 3 Aug 1947 evening
the object moved exactly with the surface wind (0)−41.4no interval givenNeeds an interval
Verdicts are computed from each interval and the rule declared with its run. 1 test on 1 question this session.

What was done

  1. Read the folder. All nineteen pages of the Blue Book folder for Incident 88 were viewed from the archive.org scan of NARA T1206 [@usaf1947incident88]. Five pages concern Hackensack (card, two-page check-list, Hynek's note, Hynek's index extract); ten are Wildwood correspondence of April to November 1948; four are the AMC letter of 25 August 1947 on the Danforth specimens with its photograph.\n\n2. Find the witnesses' own words. The FBI teletype of 4 August 1947 and the Newark letter of 13 August are in file 62-HQ-83894 [@fbi1947teletype] [@fbi1947newark]. The interviews give times of 7:30, 7:45 and 8:00 pm, a northward course, 15 seconds to a minute in sight, sizes of 'six inches' at distance to three feet, and a neighbour who saw nothing.\n\n3. Compare with the Air Force check-list. The unredacted Sign check-list for 88, released in May 2026, names Casella and Truex and repeats the teletype; every field the interviews could have filled is N/S [@usaaf1948checklists]. The machine transcription in the public mirror labels the page 'Incident # 55'; its position between 87 and 89 and the Blue Book copy show it is 88.\n\n4. Trace the intruding pages. The Wildwood correspondent's own case is Incident 50, a 74-page folder with the Faulk and Loedding interview of February 1948, the film examination and the Coast Guard report of 7 April 1948 recommending closure, which AMC accepted [@usaf1948incident50]. The check-list names her as 'Mrs. Ethel Evans', 'authority on knitting', matching Shaw's identification and a 1948 Macmillan knitting book [@usaaf1948checklists] [@evans1948knitting] [@shaw2022incident88]. The Danforth folder holds the dated original of the AMC letter and a record card concluding 'Hoax' [@usaf1947danforth]. Personal details about the Wildwood family in the Coast Guard report were read but are not reproduced here.\n\n5. Test the balloon. Teterboro's hourly record gives a light south-westerly, 225 degrees at 2.6 m/s, and a clear sky at 7 and 8 pm; sunset was at 8:15 pm with the sun in the west-north-west [@noaa1947teterboro]. The landmark course bears 4 degrees, 41 degrees left of downwind. A 0.3 m balloon at 60 m has the angular size the witnesses' estimates imply and crosses the sky at about 3.8 degrees a second.\n\n::: figure 1\n\n::: figure 2\n\n6. Review the literature. Hynek's 1949 rating, Shaw's 2022 article and the 2023 podcast are the only treatments found [@grudge1949report] [@shaw2022incident88] [@sits2023incident88]. Neither of the latter uses the FBI interviews or the Incident 50 folder.
Figure 1

The wind settled into a light south-westerly before the sighting and held through it

Teterboro Airport hourly wind speed, 3 August 1947, local time (EDT); direction 180-225 degrees throughout

0246m/s12:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:00hour (EDT)wind speed
0246m/s12:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:00hour (EDT)
wind speed
The sighting fell between the 19:00 and 20:00 observations (highlighted); wind from 225 degrees, sky clear, visibility 14 km. Sunset 20:15 EDT.
Drawn by the site
Figure 2

A small balloon 60 m away looks the size the witnesses described and crosses the sky three times faster

Angular size (degrees) and drift rate (degrees per second) in a 3.9 m/s wind

01234Casella: 30-40 in at 200 ydTruex: 2-3 ft at 200 yd0.3 m balloon at 60 m0.3 m balloon at 183 m
01234Casella: 30…Truex: 2-3 …0.3 m ballo…0.3 m ballo…
angular sizedrift rate
Wind at 183 m scaled from 2.6 m/s at 10 m by a 1/7 power law.
Drawn by the site
Runs 1
RunMeasuredResultAgainstDecision
Teterboro wind, sun and size check for the Hackensack object · 2 figuresCourse minus downwind (degrees)-41.40 (moving exactly with the surface wind)Within the ±60 degree band set for a landmark course; balloon not ruled out, not confirmed.
Answers proposed 1
Evidence found 11
Used: datasets 1
Consulted: sources 7

Cite it

Mysteries Department. (2026). Session 1: Incident 88 opened: the three files untangled and the balloon tested [Research session SES0DFY9WVPW4NG]. https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/incident-88/sessions/SES0DFY9WVPW4NG/session-1-incident-88-opened-the-three-files-untangled-and
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