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If the line is real, is it phosphine or sulphur dioxide?

Asked 26 Oct 2026 by ·Part of Is there a real absorption line at 266.94 GHz in the Venus spectra?·3 answers·0·0 following
Three answers, none aheadNone is ahead yet. See what would settle it.

Where it stands

Three answers have been proposed. None is ahead on the evidence yet. Three are still possible. Of the one narrower question under it, none is answered yet.

Why it matters

Sulphur dioxide has a transition close to 266.94 GHz and is abundant in the mesosphere; which molecule is responsible depends on line width, altitude and the strength of SO2's other lines⁠[1]⁠[2].

Answers 3

None of these.
Not tested enough to call either way
Evidence: none yet
Still possible
The absorption is mesospheric sulphur dioxide above 80 km.
Tested, but the results don't decide it
Evidence: 1 for, 1 against
Disputed
The absorption is phosphine.
Tested, but the results don't decide it
Evidence: 3 for, 2 against
Disputed

History

  1. Greaves et al. puts forward: the absorption is phosphine.
  2. Encrenaz et al.: iRTF/TEXES infrared spectra give a 3-sigma limit of 5 ppbv near the cloud tops.Against: The absorption is phosphine.
  3. Lincowski et al. puts forward: the absorption is mesospheric sulphur dioxide above 80 km.
  4. Greaves et al.: the line is wider than SO2 features and the SO2 abundance needed would be an extreme outlier.For: The absorption is phosphine.
  5. Mogul et al.: pioneer Venus Large Probe mass spectra at 51.3 km are assigned in part to phosphine.For: The absorption is phosphine.
  6. Lincowski et al.: radiative transfer shows typical mesospheric SO2 fits the JCMT feature and the line forms above 80 km.For: The absorption is mesospheric sulphur dioxide above 80 km.
  7. Cordiner et al.: sOFIA found no phosphine lines at 533 and 1,067 GHz, limit 0.8 ppb at 75–110 km.Against: The absorption is phosphine.
  8. Greaves et al.: sO2 contamination is estimated at about 10 per cent (JCMT) and 2 per cent or less (ALMA).For: The absorption is phosphine.
  9. Greaves et al.: a JCMT SO2 spectrum within days of the 2017 data and simultaneous ALMA SO2 imply low contamination.Against: The absorption is mesospheric sulphur dioxide above 80 km.
  10. Asked on this site
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