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3I/ATLASEvidence
Evidence · 3I/ATLAS

Population model: older than 7.6 billion years

Placing 3I's 58 km/s speed and radiant in a model of the Galaxy's interstellar objects gives an age above 7.6 billion years (68 per cent range 7.6 to 14), and Eubanks and colleagues argue for a thick-disc origin 9 to 13 billion years ago.

Suggestive0

What it means

Key questionWhere in the Galaxy, and how long ago, did 3I/ATLAS form?
2 answers, none ahead yet
Openunchanged
Answer this evidence bears onAn old thick-disc body, older than the Sun
Supports2 for, none against
Still possibleunchanged
What it implies
  1. Its speed is typical of an old population.For the key question: Where in the Galaxy, and how long ago, did 3I/ATLAS form?

Next steps 1

1
Repeat the stellar traceback with Gaia DR4
Could shiftFair odds~24 h
9score
Details

When Gaia DR4 is released, rerun the backward integration with its larger catalogue and better velocities. A membership probability that moves decisively to thick or thin disc settles which answer leads; a home star within a few parsecs would be a first.

Ranked by how likely each is to move the key question, for the time it takes

Sources 3

Cite it

Mysteries Department. (2026). Population model: older than 7.6 billion years [Evidence EVD0DFQ52C3MMCJ]. https://mysteriesdept.com/r/EVD0DFQ52C3MMCJ
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