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What do the debris finds and drift studies say about the latitude of the crash?

Asked 26 Oct 2026 by ·Part of Where is the wreckage?·3 answers·0·0 following
Three answers, none aheadNone is ahead yet. See what would settle it.

Where it stands

Three answers have been proposed. None is ahead on the evidence yet. Three are still possible.

Why it matters

The debris is the only physical evidence and its drift is the only independent check on the satellite analysis⁠[1].

Answers 3

Evidence: 1 for
Still possible
Evidence: 1 for, 1 against
Disputed
None of these.
Not tested enough to call either way
Evidence: none yet
Still possible

History

  1. Griffin et al. puts forward: an origin near 35°S on the arc best fits the arrival times and places.
  2. Griffin et al. puts forward: an origin farther north (30–33°S), with the drift models' uncertainty allowing it.
  3. Griffin et al.: cSIRO's modelling, calibrated with replica flaperons, favoured about 35°S and matched the absence of…For: An origin near 35°S on the arc best fits the arrival times and places.
  4. Griffin et al.: drift models have wide uncertainty in arrival timing and the flaperon's windage was estimated from replicas.For: An origin farther north (30–33°S), with the drift models' uncertainty allowing it.
  5. The Malaysian ICAO Annex 13 Safety Investigation Team for MH370: the 2018 search covered the 35°S region near the arc and found nothing.Against: An origin near 35°S on the arc best fits the arrival times and places.
  6. Asked on this site
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