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Did he survive the jump?

Asked 26 Oct 2026 by ·3 answers·0·0 following
Most likely: he died in or soon after the jump, at night in rain over forest with a dummy reserveAhead on the evidence, not yet confirmed. It needs two reviews to be accepted.

Where it stands

Three answers have been proposed. He died in or soon after the jump, at night in rain over forest with a dummy reserve. leads, with evidence 2 for, 2 against: partly supported by its tests. Two are still possible.

Why it matters

The FBI's working view since 2007 is that he died; the public's is that he got away. The answer decides whether the search is for a body or a man, and the money find is read differently under each⁠[1]⁠[2].

Answers 3

Evidence: 2 for, 2 against
Most likely
He survived the landing and left the area.
Not tested enough to call either way
Evidence: 2 for
Still possible
None of these.
Not tested enough to call either way
Evidence: none yet
Still possible

History

  1. Kaye & Meltzer: the diatom and rubber-band evidence that the money entered the river months later and was buried within a…For: He survived the landing and left the area.
  2. Asked on this site
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