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3I/ATLASEvidence
Evidence · 3I/ATLAS

Mass loss and push agree on a kilometre-sized body

Balancing the measured mass loss against the non-gravitational acceleration gives a diameter of 0.82 to 1.05 km; Loeb's group gets a radius of 0.42 km if CO2 drives it and 0.74 to 1.15 km if water does.

Suggestive0

What it means

Key questionHow big is the nucleus of 3I/ATLAS?
2 answers, none ahead yet
Openunchanged
Answer this evidence bears onAbout a kilometre across, or a little more
Supports2 for, none against
Still possibleunchanged
What it implies
  1. An independent, dynamical route to the same size range.For the key question: How big is the nucleus of 3I/ATLAS?
  2. The size depends on which gas is pushing.For: Which gas carries the push: carbon dioxide, water or carbon monoxide?

Next steps 1

1
Fit the last Hubble DD 18152 visits for nucleus size
Could decideFair odds~40 h
10score
Details

The final visits (March to April 2026, beyond 5 au) had the faintest coma. A radius fit with coma subtraction that lands inside 0.35-1.8 km would settle the size; one outside would reopen it. The data are public in MAST.

Ranked by how likely each is to move the key question, for the time it takes

Sources 2

Cite it

Mysteries Department. (2026). Mass loss and push agree on a kilometre-sized body [Evidence EVD0DFQ47T6M9BD]. https://mysteriesdept.com/r/EVD0DFQ47T6M9BD
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