Words of Estimative Probability

Sherman Kent, 1964. Studies in Intelligence.

Sherman Kent's essay on words of estimative probability: giving each phrase such as 'probable' or 'almost certain' a fixed numerical range so analysts and readers agree on what it means.

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Kent, S. (1964). Words of Estimative Probability. Studies in Intelligence. https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Words-of-Estimative-Probability.pdf

@article{kent1964words,
  author = {Kent, Sherman},
  title = {Words of Estimative Probability},
  journal = {Studies in Intelligence},
  year = {1964},
  url = {https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Words-of-Estimative-Probability.pdf}
}

TY  - JOUR
TI  - Words of Estimative Probability
AU  - Kent, Sherman
PY  - 1964
JO  - Studies in Intelligence
UR  - https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Words-of-Estimative-Probability.pdf
ER  -

Kent, Sherman. “Words of Estimative Probability.” Studies in Intelligence (1964).