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Evidence · Voynich Manuscript

Normalising does not let a homophonic key through

Normalising the line-edge spellings does not help a homophonic key transfer: the best held-out gap stays at 0.32 nats a character (raw 0.34; a planted key gives 0.02).

EstablishedObservationConfirmatory0

What it means

Key questionWhat kind of text is it?
Most likely: a notation or memory system
Most likelyunchanged
Answer this evidence bears onLatin or a vernacular under a table cipher
Counts againstweighs little · 6 for, 8 against
Still possibleunchanged

Next steps 5

1
ACH sensitivity without a second rater: drop each finding in turn and shift each diagnosticity one step, and report which rankings move. A blinded rating by an independent model run, clearly labelled as such, can stand in until a person rates.
~4 h
—not judged
2
Add human-made meaningless text (the Gaskell and Bowern 2022 samples) as a null text in the battery and the signature tests.
~6 h
—not judged
3
Second rater for every evidence link, then ACH sensitivity (drop each finding, compare raters).
~6 h
—not judged
4
Paradigm classes against slot simulators with held-out stem-ending prediction (F-103).
~12 h
—not judged
Ranked by how likely each is to move the key question, for the time it takesAll 5 on the question

How it was found 1 run

Homophonic solver on the normalised text: held-out gap (own minus decoded, nats/char), five configurationsLatin.novowel slots spaces=True: 0.32 (raw 0.34); Latin slots spaces=True: 1.65 (raw 1.77); Italian slots spaces=True: 1.73 (raw 2.04); Latin slots spaces=False: 0.71 (raw 0.69); German slots spaces=True: 2.13 (raw 2.16)Not supported (no key transfers)

Cite it

Mysteries Department. (2026). Normalising does not let a homophonic key through [Evidence EVD0DCC14A87RYJ]. https://mysteriesdept.com/r/EVD0DCC14A87RYJ
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