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MethodsTransit timing / observation planningCoverage-based period exclusion and transit-window table for a single observed transit
Method · transit timing / observation planning

Coverage-based period exclusion and transit-window table for a single observed transit

Turn a single transit plus archival coverage into a falsifiable set of dates without using radial velocities, and check published period windows independently.

Transit timing / observation planningVersion 1.0Licence MIT1 runUsed on 1 mystery

Questions it answers

Code Python

Runs and results 1 run

RunMysteryMeasuredResultAgainstDate
RUN0DEC25J1X101Tabby'sFraction of periods excluded; allowed ranges; per-window past/next transit dates and coverage; recurrence-window coverage fractions{'next_transits': {'W1': ['2022-06-29..07-01 (8 d before S54)', '2025-04-24..27', '2028-02-17..23'], 'W3': ['2023-03-27..30', '2026-10-18..23', '2030-05-11..19'], 'W4': ['2023-05-11', '2027-01-15..16'], 'W5': ['2023-06-01..02', '2027-02-28..03-02']}, 'W1_survives_because': '2011-03-15..20 falls in the Q8/Q9 gap', 'coverage_days_total': 1522.6, 'excluded_as_printed': {'W2': 'Kepler 2011-03-03..06', 'W4': 'Kepler 2012-04-21'}, 'allowed_near_published': {'W1': [1029.45, 1031.7], 'W3': [1300.2, 1304.05], 'W5': [1365.85, 1368.5], 'nearest_to_W4': [1354.4, 1356.1]}, 'fraction_excluded_100_3000d': 0.804, 'recurrence_coverage_fraction': {'n1_2013': 0.56, 'n4_2019': 0.07, 'n5_2021': 0.09, 'n6_2024': 0.05}}

Applied to

2 datasetsKepler long-cadence light curve of KIC 8462852, Quarters 0-17, as one CSV, TESS light curves of TIC 185336364 (KIC 8462852), Sectors 14-82, as flat CSV

References

  1. arXiv:2607.20643 (July 2026). Models the symmetric 1.1 per cent dip in TESS Sector 15 (September 2019) as a planetary transit and combines it with archival and new radial velocities: a 2.3-sigma companion of about 9 Jupiter masses and 1.7 Jupiter radii with a period of at least about 1030 days, in several allowed period windows. Independently recovered in this department's TESS search.
  2. arXiv:2609.02726 (September 2026). A Bayesian recurrence test on the dip families gives a Bayes factor of about 45 for recurrence at a period of 781.6 days with a width of 80 days. A dated, testable claim for the periodic reading.
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