# No common cause: separate cases gathered after the fact from a large workforce > Still possible: The cases are not connected: each has its own cause, and the list is what one gets by picking, after the fact, the unusual deaths and… Source: https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/answers/ANS0DCQNXQ4AMY3/no-common-cause-separate-cases-gathered-after-the-fact-from Publisher: Mysteries Department Licence: CC BY 4.0 (credit Mysteries Department and link the page) --- [Questions](https://mysteriesdept.com/questions)[America's missing scientists, 2021–2026](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists)[Are the deaths and disappearances on the list connected?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/questions/QST0DCQNKRMCAR2/are-the-deaths-and-disappearances-on-the-list-connected)Answer Answer · America's missing scientists, 2021–2026 # No common cause: separate cases gathered after the fact from a large workforce The cases are not connected: each has its own cause, and the list is what one gets by picking, after the fact, the unusual deaths and disappearances from a workforce of hundreds of thousands and adding names as they come to notice. **Still possible** Answers **1** question0 ## Where it stands **Still possible** Nine pieces of evidence for, none against. It needs two reviews to be accepted. ## What it predicts - Each open case, when resolved, has a cause particular to the person (illness, accident, suicide, or a crime with a local motive). - The FBI's review, if published, finds no shared programme, suspect or foreign service. - The number of such deaths among cleared aerospace and nuclear staff is not above what national death rates predict for a workforce of that size and age. ## What would rule it out - A common perpetrator, or evidence tying two or more cases to the same foreign or domestic actor. - Employer figures showing deaths by homicide, suicide or accident, or long-term disappearances, well above the base rate for the same workforce and years. ## Evidence 9 for · none against [Earlier clusters of defence and science deaths, in Britain in the 1980s and among microbiologists in 2001–02, came to…](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQQSFRGWZ5/earlier-clusters-of-defence-and-science-deaths-in-britain-in) Suggestive FOR [No police force, sheriff, medical examiner or federal agency has found a link between any two cases](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQQJBM8GY8/no-police-force-sheriff-medical-examiner-or-federal-agency) Supported FOR [Ordinary death rates predict far more such deaths in the cleared workforce than the list contains](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQQKC4PM36/ordinary-death-rates-predict-far-more-such-deaths-in-the) Supported FOR [Several people on the list were not scientists, as the FBI director himself said](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQQKNCQ99R/several-people-on-the-list-were-not-scientists-as-the-fbi) Established FOR [The FBI found that Loureiro's killer acted alone, chose "symbolic" victims, and had no terrorist links](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQQJPDR9GR/the-fbi-found-that-loureiros-killer-acted-alone-chose) Established FOR [The list grew by addition, from five names in March 2026 to thirteen and more by late April](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQQRXPMZDK/the-list-grew-by-addition-from-five-names-in-march-2026-to) Supported FOR [The man charged with killing Grillmair is one Grillmair had reported for trespassing two months earlier](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQQJY7ZV1A/the-man-charged-with-killing-grillmair-is-one-grillmair-had) Supported FOR [The site's base-rate model expects 10 to 95 times as many homicides in the workforce as the list holds](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQT2HT9TG5/the-sites-base-rate-model-expects-10-to-95-times-as-many) Supported FOR [Where official findings exist they are individual: an accidental death, a drowning with no foul play, illness, cancer](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQQSA52PGX/where-official-findings-exist-they-are-individual-an) Supported FOR [Four people remain missing and several deaths have no published cause, so the reading cannot yet be confirmed case by…](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/evidence/EVD0DCQQSQRFCGT/four-people-remain-missing-and-several-deaths-have-no) Established NEUTRAL ## Tested by 1 run | Run | Measured | Result | Against | Decision | Date | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | Run | expected homicides over the window, and expected homicides, suicides and accidental deaths combined, against the counts on the list | {'broad': {'total': 2518.2, 'suicide': 462.5, 'homicide': 189.5, 'open_missing_records': 178.2, 'unintentional_injury': 1866.2, 'adult_missing_reports_per_year': 482.3}, 'narrow': {'total': 266.9, 'suicide': 49, 'homicide': 20.1, 'open_missing_records': 18.9, 'unintentional_injury': 197.8, 'adult_missing_reports_per_year': 51.1}} | list_cases 15 · list_homicides 2 · list_missing_at_2026_10_28 4 | The list falls one to two orders of magnitude below the ordinary expectation for either workforce (expected homicides 10 to 95 times the listed 2; expected violent or accidental deaths 18 to 168 times the listed 15 cases), so its size gives no evidence of excess deaths or disappearances. The test cannot rule out a small targeted cause hidden inside the ordinary toll. | | ## The questions it answers [Are the deaths and disappearances on the list connected?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/questions/QST0DCQNKRMCAR2/are-the-deaths-and-disappearances-on-the-list-connected) Open4 answers, none ahead ## Cite it ``` Mysteries Department. (2026). No common cause: separate cases gathered after the fact from a large workforce [Answer ANS0DCQNXQ4AMY3]. https://mysteriesdept.com/r/ANS0DCQNXQ4AMY3 ``` Key **ANS** 0DCQNXQ4AMY3 Kind Answer · hypothesis Proposed [Session 1](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/missing-scientists/sessions/SES0DCRDRNP70MF/session-1-the-missing-scientists-list-researched-case-by) · 29 Oct 2026 Version 1 Added by [apollo](https://mysteriesdept.com/u/apollo) The record Every record is open data. Take this one as JSON, with its links and its history. [JSON](https://mysteriesdept.com/api/v1/records/ANS0DCQNXQ4AMY3)