# What decides which flybys show an anomaly? · Earth flyby anomaly

> Five answers have been proposed. None is ahead on the evidence yet. Five are still possible.

Source: https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/questions/QST0CWYE9G65APR/what-decides-which-flybys-show-an-anomaly  
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Updated: 2026-10-26T11:57:26+00:00  

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# What decides which flybys show an anomaly?

Asked 26 Oct 2026 by [**apollo** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/u/apollo)·Part of [What produces the velocity changes seen in some Earth flybys?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/questions/QST0CWYE98C43P6/what-produces-the-velocity-changes-seen-in-some-earth-flybys)·5 answers·0·0 following

**Five answers, none ahead** None is ahead yet. See what would settle it.

 

## Where it stands

Five answers have been proposed. None is ahead on the evidence yet. Five are still possible.

## Why it matters

Any explanation must account for both the anomalies and the nulls; the empirical formulas proposed so far have not predicted new flybys⁠[[1]](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYE16J6YDA/the-flyby-anomaly-a-multivariate-analysis-approach).

## Answers 5



[**An alternative empirical formula (Busack 2007) that predicted the Rosetta null results.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/answers/ANS0CWYEE4M3ZDD/an-alternative-empirical-formula-busack-2007-that-predicted)

Tested, but the results don't decide it

Evidence: 1 against

Disputed



[**Local parameters at perigee, as for a latitude-dependent force of about 300 km range.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/answers/ANS0CWYEEM83BZ2/local-parameters-at-perigee-as-for-a-latitude-dependent)

Not tested enough to call either way

Evidence: 1 for

Still possible



[**None of these.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/answers/ANS0CWYEFKG5G5G/none-of-these)

Not tested enough to call either way

Evidence: none yet

Still possible



[**The difference between incoming and outgoing declinations, as in the Anderson formula.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/answers/ANS0CWYEDD65GBF/the-difference-between-incoming-and-outgoing-declinations-as)

Failed a test; not refuted outright

Evidence: 1 for, 1 against

Disputed



[**The land-sea distribution under the trajectory modulates the effect.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/answers/ANS0CWYEF3W12JE/the-land-sea-distribution-under-the-trajectory-modulates-the)

Not tested enough to call either way

Evidence: 1 for

Still possible

## History

1. 2008[Anderson et al. puts forward: the difference between incoming and outgoing declinations, as in the Anderson formula.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYDZQP6RHF/anomalous-orbital-energy-changes-observed-during-spacecraft)
1. 2008[Anderson et al.: fits the six flybys known in 2008.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYDZQP6RHF/anomalous-orbital-energy-changes-observed-during-spacecraft)For: The difference between incoming and outgoing declinations, as in the Anderson formula.
1. 2013[Busack puts forward: an alternative empirical formula (Busack 2007) that predicted the Rosetta null results.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYE0YR11F9/expected-velocity-anomaly-for-the-earth-flyby-of-juno)
1. 2017[Acedo puts forward: local parameters at perigee, as for a latitude-dependent force of about 300 km range.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYE16J6YDA/the-flyby-anomaly-a-multivariate-analysis-approach)
1. 2017[Acedo: a multivariate fit of nine flybys predicts non-zero values only for Galileo II, NEAR and Cassini within…](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYE16J6YDA/the-flyby-anomaly-a-multivariate-analysis-approach)For: Local parameters at perigee, as for a latitude-dependent force of about 300 km range.
1. 2018[Acedo et al.: juno showed no clear anomaly against a predicted +6 mm/s.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYE1EC5ADC/a-possible-flyby-anomaly-for-juno-at-jupiter)Against: The difference between incoming and outgoing declinations, as in the Anderson formula.
1. 2018[Acedo et al.: juno's anomaly was at the threshold of detection or absent.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYE1EC5ADC/a-possible-flyby-anomaly-for-juno-at-jupiter)Against: An alternative empirical formula (Busack 2007) that predicted the Rosetta null results.
1. 2026[Yalcinbas puts forward: the land-sea distribution under the trajectory modulates the effect.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYE3WG0ZVE/a-sign-stable-earth-fixed-modulation-in-earth-flyby)
1. 2026[Yalcinbas: a stable sign structure across the primary flyby set under changes of weighting.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CWYE3WG0ZVE/a-sign-stable-earth-fixed-modulation-in-earth-flyby)For: The land-sea distribution under the trajectory modulates the effect.
1. 26 Oct 2026Asked on this site

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Where it fits

Earth flyby anomaly

[**What produces the velocity changes seen in some Earth flybys?** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/questions/QST0CWYE98C43P6/what-produces-the-velocity-changes-seen-in-some-earth-flybys)Key question · most likely an error or inconsistency in trajectory modelling and navigation software (reference frames, spheres of…

[Does the anomaly occur at other planets?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/questions/QST0CWYE9ZT1W27/does-the-anomaly-occur-at-other-planets)Open · 3 answers, inconclusive

[If the anomaly is real new physics, what kind?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/flyby-anomaly/questions/QST0CWYE9R02K3H/if-the-anomaly-is-real-new-physics-what-kind)Open · 4 answers, inconclusive

**What decides which flybys show an anomaly?** You're here · 5 answers, inconclusive

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