# Is the traditional palaeographic chronology of the scrolls broadly right, or are many manuscripts substantially older? · Dead Sea Scrolls: dating, scribes and provenance

> Four answers have been proposed. Many manuscripts are older than the palaeographic chronology says, often by decades and sometimes by a… leads, with…

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Updated: 2026-10-26T11:57:14+00:00  

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# Is the traditional palaeographic chronology of the scrolls broadly right, or are many manuscripts substantially older?

Asked 26 Oct 2026 by [**apollo** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/u/apollo)·4 answers·0·0 following

**Most likely: many manuscripts are older than the palaeographic chronology says, often by decades and sometimes by a…** Ahead on the evidence, not yet confirmed. It needs two reviews to be accepted.

 

## Where it stands

Four answers have been proposed. Many manuscripts are older than the palaeographic chronology says, often by decades and sometimes by a… leads, with evidence 3 for: partly supported by its tests. Three are still possible. Of the one narrower question under it, none is answered yet.

## Why it matters

Most scrolls are dated only by handwriting. If they are a century older than thought, the dates of composition for books such as Daniel and Ecclesiastes, and the history of the sect, move with them⁠[[1]](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D4849MR4G48/dating-ancient-manuscripts-using-radiocarbon-and-ai-based).

## Answers 4



[**Many manuscripts are older than the palaeographic chronology says, often by decades and sometimes by a…** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/dead-sea-scrolls-dating/answers/ANS0D484PJT091H/many-manuscripts-are-older-than-the-palaeographic-chronology)

Partly supported by its tests

Evidence: 3 for

Most likely



[**The palaeographic chronology is broadly right; differences from the 2025 dates fall within the combined…** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/dead-sea-scrolls-dating/answers/ANS0D484QJ216BX/the-palaeographic-chronology-is-broadly-right-differences)

Partly supported by its tests

Evidence: 2 for

Most likely



[**Key sectarian manuscripts are later than the consensus, into the first century AD.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/dead-sea-scrolls-dating/answers/ANS0D484R9G6ND6/key-sectarian-manuscripts-are-later-than-the-consensus-into)

Failed a test; not refuted outright

Evidence: 1 against

Disputed



[**None of these.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/dead-sea-scrolls-dating/answers/ANS0D484RS46AFS/none-of-these)

Not tested enough to call either way

Evidence: none yet

Still possible

## History

1. 1992[Bonani et al. puts forward: the palaeographic chronology is broadly right; differences from the 2025 dates fall within the combined…](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D484AM03SE1/radiocarbon-dating-of-fourteen-dead-sea-scrolls)
1. 1995[Jull et al.: the 1990s radiocarbon series broadly agreed with the palaeographic sequence.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D484AVT58YE/radiocarbon-dating-of-scrolls-and-linen-fragments-from-the)For: The palaeographic chronology is broadly right; differences from the 2025 dates fall within the combined…
1. 2001[Rasmussen et al.: castor oil left by 1950s conservation can make earlier radiocarbon dates too young.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D484B3M1R74/the-effects-of-possible-contamination-on-the-radiocarbon)For: Many manuscripts are older than the palaeographic chronology says, often by decades and sometimes by a…
1. 2004[Braunheim et al. puts forward: key sectarian manuscripts are later than the consensus, into the first century AD.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D484BBE78QG/redating-the-radiocarbon-dating-of-the-dead-sea-scrolls)
1. 2007[van der Plicht: a re-examination of the calibrations found they do not support the later chronology.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D484BK803AP/radiocarbon-dating-and-the-dead-sea-scrolls-a-comment-on)Against: Key sectarian manuscripts are later than the consensus, into the first century AD.
1. 2025[Popović et al. puts forward: many manuscripts are older than the palaeographic chronology says, often by decades and sometimes by a…](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D4849MR4G48/dating-ancient-manuscripts-using-radiocarbon-and-ai-based)
1. 2025[Popović et al.: the 2025 radiocarbon ranges and Enoch predictions are often older than traditional palaeographic estimates.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D4849MR4G48/dating-ancient-manuscripts-using-radiocarbon-and-ai-based)For: Many manuscripts are older than the palaeographic chronology says, often by decades and sometimes by a…
1. 2025[Silva: enoch was trained on only 24 dated manuscripts, which a reviewer argued is too few to overturn palaeography.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D484CTA4XVX/revisitando-a-datacao-do-livro-de-daniel-uma-abordagem)For: The palaeographic chronology is broadly right; differences from the 2025 dates fall within the combined…
1. 26 Oct 2026Asked on this site

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Where it fits

Dead Sea Scrolls: dating, scribes and provenance

**Is the traditional palaeographic chronology of the scrolls broadly right, or are many manuscripts substantially older?** Key question · you're here

[Can the Enoch model date undated manuscripts reliably from handwriting alone?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/dead-sea-scrolls-dating/questions/QST0D484NKJ0HV2/can-the-enoch-model-date-undated-manuscripts-reliably-from)Most likely · enoch dates manuscripts to within about 30 years, comparable to radiocarbon, and can replace palaeographic…

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