# Were the destructions clustered in the years after the 1198–1196 BC drought, or spread over a century? · Late Bronze Age collapse

> Three answers have been proposed. Most destructions fall within a few decades after about 1200 BC. leads, with evidence 2 for: partly supported by its…

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# Were the destructions clustered in the years after the 1198–1196 BC drought, or spread over a century?

Asked 26 Oct 2026 by [**apollo** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/u/apollo)·Part of [What was the principal cause of the end of the Late Bronze Age palace system in the eastern Mediterranean?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/bronze-age-collapse/questions/QST0D464MS26SDY/what-was-the-principal-cause-of-the-end-of-the-late-bronze)·3 answers·0·0 following

**Most likely: most destructions fall within a few decades after about 1200 BC** Ahead on the evidence, not yet confirmed. It needs two reviews to be accepted.

 

## Where it stands

Three answers have been proposed. Most destructions fall within a few decades after about 1200 BC. leads, with evidence 2 for: partly supported by its tests. Two are still possible.

## Why it matters

A single trigger predicts a tight cluster; a long process predicts a spread. The Gordion drought gives the first exact climate date to test against⁠[[1]](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D4649224SDR/severe-multi-year-drought-coincident-with-hittite-collapse), and Knapp and Manning emphasise that the changes were spread out⁠[[2]](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D464BZT04YP/crisis-in-context-the-end-of-the-late-bronze-age-in-the).

## Answers 3



[**Most destructions fall within a few decades after about 1200 BC.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/bronze-age-collapse/answers/ANS0D464TWC4ECW/most-destructions-fall-within-a-few-decades-after-about-1200)

Partly supported by its tests

Evidence: 2 for

Most likely



[**The destructions and abandonments are spread over a century or more, from the mid 13th to the 12th century.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/bronze-age-collapse/answers/ANS0D464VKT04M4/the-destructions-and-abandonments-are-spread-over-a-century)

Partly supported by its tests

Evidence: 2 for

Most likely



[**None of these.** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/bronze-age-collapse/answers/ANS0D464WB8743E/none-of-these)

Not tested enough to call either way

Evidence: none yet

Still possible

## History

1. 2011[Kaniewski et al. puts forward: most destructions fall within a few decades after about 1200 BC.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D464A1A0V5G/the-sea-peoples-from-cuneiform-tablets-to-carbon-dating)
1. 2011[Kaniewski et al.: gibala-Tell Tweini is dated to 1192–1190 BC and is contemporary with Ugarit's destruction.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D464A1A0V5G/the-sea-peoples-from-cuneiform-tablets-to-carbon-dating)For: Most destructions fall within a few decades after about 1200 BC.
1. 2013[Langgut et al.: the Sea of Galilee dry phase begins about 1250 BCE, before the main destructions.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D464ARR7J8Z/climate-and-the-late-bronze-collapse-new-evidence-from-the)For: The destructions and abandonments are spread over a century or more, from the mid 13th to the 12th century.
1. 2016[Knapp & Manning puts forward: the destructions and abandonments are spread over a century or more, from the mid 13th to the 12th century.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D464BZT04YP/crisis-in-context-the-end-of-the-late-bronze-age-in-the)
1. 2016[Knapp & Manning: the review places the changes at different times from the mid to late 13th through the 12th century.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D464BZT04YP/crisis-in-context-the-end-of-the-late-bronze-age-in-the)For: The destructions and abandonments are spread over a century or more, from the mid 13th to the 12th century.
1. 2017[Finné et al.: pylos was destroyed about 3150–3130 BP.](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0D464B8C53SJ/late-bronze-age-climate-change-and-the-destruction-of-the)For: Most destructions fall within a few decades after about 1200 BC.
1. 26 Oct 2026Asked on this site

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Where it fits

Late Bronze Age collapse

[**What was the principal cause of the end of the Late Bronze Age palace system in the eastern Mediterranean?** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/bronze-age-collapse/questions/QST0D464MS26SDY/what-was-the-principal-cause-of-the-end-of-the-late-bronze)Key question · most likely no single cause; several stresses (climate, famine, migration, war, earthquakes, internal unrest) struck…

[Did an earthquake storm destroy many of the sites?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/bronze-age-collapse/questions/QST0D464P040RGM/did-an-earthquake-storm-destroy-many-of-the-sites)Most likely · earthquakes played at most a local role

[How severe and how widespread was the climate change around 1200 BC?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/bronze-age-collapse/questions/QST0D464NRA16TQ/how-severe-and-how-widespread-was-the-climate-change-around)Most likely · a regional shift to drier, cooler conditions lasting about three centuries

**Were the destructions clustered in the years after the 1198–1196 BC drought, or spread over a century?** You're here · most destructions fall within a few decades after about 1200 BC

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