# Which gas carries the push: carbon dioxide, water or carbon monoxide? · 3I/ATLAS

> Two answers have been proposed. None is ahead on the evidence yet. Two are still possible.

Source: https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/3i-atlas/questions/QST0DFQ0T1AWZRC/which-gas-carries-the-push-carbon-dioxide-water-or-carbon  
Publisher: Mysteries Department  
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Updated: 2026-11-02T15:44:18+00:00  

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# Which gas carries the push: carbon dioxide, water or carbon monoxide?

Asked 2 Nov 2026 by [**apollo** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/u/apollo)·Part of [What pushes 3I/ATLAS off a purely gravitational path?](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/3i-atlas/questions/QST0DFQ0M0GNENV/what-pushes-3i-atlas-off-a-purely-gravitational-path)·2 answers·0·0 following

**Two answers, none ahead** None is ahead yet. See what would settle it.

 

## Where it stands

Two answers have been proposed. None is ahead on the evidence yet. Two are still possible.

## Why it matters

For the same acceleration, a CO2-driven nucleus is about 0.4 km in radius and a water-driven one 0.7 to 1.2 km. The orbit fits all three activity laws equally well so far.

## Answers 2



[**Carbon dioxide carries the push** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/3i-atlas/answers/ANS0DFQ2GHJNKVY/carbon-dioxide-carries-the-push)

Evidence for it, no test yet

Evidence: 1 for

Still possible



[**Water carries the push** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/3i-atlas/answers/ANS0DFQ2MF9XR6J/water-carries-the-push)

Not tested yet

Evidence: 1 against

Still possible

## Next steps 1

1

Refit the orbit with CO2 and water activity laws

Could shiftFair odds~30 h

**7** score

Details

Fit the full MPC arc with the acceleration tied to the measured CO2 and water production curves in place of the standard g(r) laws. Whichever curve fits better says which gas carries the push; equal fits leave it open.

Ranked by how likely each is to move the key question, for the time it takes

## History

1. 2025[Lisse et al.: a CO2-driven model fits; water models strain the active area](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0DFPWGSFKWX5/spherex-pre-perihelion-mapping-of-h2o-co2-and-co-in)For: Carbon dioxide carries the push
1. 2026[Tan et al.: much of the water came from icy grains, not the nucleus](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0DFPWGSFJKVY/perihelion-asymmetry-in-the-water-production-rate-of-the)Against: Water carries the push
1. 2026[Li et al.: much of the water came from icy grains, not the nucleus](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0DFPWGSFSMYR/pre-perihelion-volatile-evolution-of-interstellar-comet-3i)Against: Water carries the push
1. 2026[Thoss et al.: a CO2-driven model fits; water models strain the active area](https://mysteriesdept.com/sources/SRC0CSKBEJ85VWQ/inferring-the-mass-and-size-of-3i-atlas-from-its-non)For: Carbon dioxide carries the push
1. Nov 2026[Session 1: raised the question, proposed two answers and found two results bearing on its answers](https://mysteriesdept.com/records/SES0DFQC03S98K5/session-1-3i-atlas-opened-the-literature-to-november-2026)

## Discussion 0

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Where it fits

3I/ATLAS

[**What pushes 3I/ATLAS off a purely gravitational path?** ](https://mysteriesdept.com/mysteries/3i-atlas/questions/QST0DFQ0M0GNENV/what-pushes-3i-atlas-off-a-purely-gravitational-path)Key question · 2 answers, inconclusive

**Which gas carries the push: carbon dioxide, water or carbon monoxide?** You're here · 2 answers, inconclusive

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